Chairman of the Westborough Republican Town Committee
10 Reasons Why Mitt Romney Will Take Massachusetts!
Everyone knows that Massachusetts is an overwhelmingly Democrat state. In the past four Presidential elections the Democrat candidate has won with over 60% of the popular vote, topped by then Senator Obama’s 62% in 2008.
But not this year.
Mitt Romney will take Massachusetts! Here are 10 reasons why this will happen:
- Massachusetts’ voters are already turning away from President Obama. Compared with his 62% majority in 2008, the June 2 Boston Globe/UNH/Cornell poll only gave the President a 46%-34% margin, with 20% undecided! While Massachusetts is still being counted on as a true blue” state for Obama, the fact that his popularity has declined by 16 points (25%) and is under 50% are red flags. And, if 20% of the voters are still undecided about the President, they are clearly in play for Mr. Romney. Cue the music, the thrill is gone.
- A big reason for this is that many Independent voters who supported candidate Obama in the last election did so for three reasons: a) the historic nature of his candidacy; b) severe dislike of President Bush, Republicans, John McCain and Sarah Palin; c) and blind faith that “hope and change” actually represented something positive. They have now seen that hope has left the building and that change is what is needed to get the Country back on the right track.
- In fact, many of them have already voted … for Scott Brown in 2010. Independent voters not only helped defeat Martha Coakley, their votes rejected President Obama only two years after his inauguration, despite his full throated endorsement on the Sunday before the election. How does this happen in a State that has three times as many Democrats as Republicans, unless the voters are sending a very clear message?
- Speaking of Senator Brown, Elizabeth Warren’s trouble with the truth is going to bring many Independents back to the polls to reinforce and revalidate his 2010 victory. Her shadowy past is an embarrassment, and her negative coattails will propel Brown to victory while adding votes for Mitt Romney.
- As Ronald Reagan used to say, “Facts are stubborn things.” While Obama will attempt to portray Romney as some kind of Republican ogre, his own abysmal record on the economy is what is really ugly. Despite the stimulus, and the bailouts, and the crony capitalism, and the breath taking spending, the employment picture has not improved and the National debt has grossly worsened. Obama’s claims of a slow and gradual economic improvement and his creation of over 4 million jobs will be quickly debunked by something the people who live in the real economy already know - the labor force has shrunk since 2009, and between 350,000-400,000 new Unemployment claims are being made every week!
- Do you remember the Watergate Hearings and the often-repeated question, “What did the President know, and when did he know it?” We will be repeatedly hearing this question in the coming weeks while Congress inexorably attempts to determine what Mr. Obama is hiding from the public by claiming Executive Privilege on relevant information concerning “Fast and Furious.” If the past is a guide, there will be additional and damaging revelations. The ghost of Richard Nixon will reappear. The net effect will be the accelerating erosion of Obama’s image from “cool” to replaceable.
- Unlike recent Republican Presidential candidates, Romney has a base in Massachusetts. He has proved that he can get 50% of the vote in defeating a Democrat opponent. Deval Patrick did not get 50% of the vote in the 2010 gubernatorial race. Obama’s current number is even lower in the Globe poll. Therefore, considering the falling image of the President, Romney is well positioned to pull the upset.
- In addition to Independent voters, moderate thinking Democrats have concluded that Obama is neither a Kennedy Democrat, nor a pragmatic Clintonian. He has proven himself to be a hyper-partisan, politically opportunistic, Executive Order kind of President who is more concerned about his own image and re-election than he is about the Democrat Party. For these “about-to-be” Romney Democrats, the defeat of Hillary Clinton in 2008 is an ongoing regret, and for the good of the Country, Romney is their more reasonable choice.
- This attitude will be fortified by Romney’s capacity to work with Democrats during his term as Governor. This will increasingly be seen as a plus, especially by Independents, who are looking for a less partisan, more compromising leader. And, his turn-around skill experience (2002 Olympics and Bain Capital) will be seen as reasons to vote for Romney to get America headed back in the right direction.
10. Ann Romney (probably should be higher on the list).
Many people will be surprised to know that Ronald Reagan actually won in Massachusetts two times over very liberal Democrats – and very handily. So, when history repeats itself, and Romney takes Massachusetts this year, it should not be that surprising.
Right?
I can’t wait to watch the implosions of the “decision desks” at NBC, ABC, CBS, CNN and MSNBC when they announce the news.
But you read it here first.
Stephen Faris
7:46 pm on Saturday, June 23, 2012
You make some great points. Obama is history. Also, Dickmorris,com has had Obama losing by a country mile for over 1 year. Dick Morris helped get Bill Clinton elected and is one of the smartest political analyst I know.
Forget the mainstream media, they would like people to think its close.
If Obama had any class he would resign because of the mess he has created. One positive is when the people finally figure out Obama will lose, the stock market will spike. That may happen when the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare.
Good anakysis Jim.
Steve
Jim Hatherley
10:57 pm on Saturday, June 23, 2012
Steve, thanks for your comment. The Obama story is very interesting in that there are a lot of people who steadfastly defend him no matter what. I just don't see it, but we will all know what happens soon enough. Every electoral projection has Massachusetts for Obama. Based on what I was hearing from Independent voters when making calls for Scott Brown, and his subsequent election, I obviously think this is naive analysis.
Amy Buttiglieri
6:34 am on Sunday, June 24, 2012
It's a Pendulum in Constant Motion
It is the nature of our country, given our freedom to choose our leaders, to move the pendulum back towards center when it moves too far left or right. The people felt we were moving to far right in 2008 so pulled us left. Many feel we've now swung a little too far left, so they'll pull us more to the right.
I believe our "checks and balances" go beyond the constitution and into people's core beliefs: we want to help small businesses so we lean Republican, but wait - we want to help our fellow citizens, so we lean Democrat. It's subconscious, this balance we want to achieve. Analogy: we don't think about balancing on our bicycle - we subconsciously make tiny adjustments, and only consciously think about it when there's something in our path. The question is: does the country as a whole feel we've swung a little too far left? Just my 2 cents...
Jim Hatherley
8:59 am on Sunday, June 24, 2012
Amy, thanks for your comments, I am a sucker for good analogies - excellent. So, what is your conclusion? Building on your biking/balance metaphor, you may not think about keeping your balance, but you know that when you lean too far to the left or the right the end result is going to be the same - a crash. Or, if you grind the gears harder than they can safely withstand, the chain falls off. That's where we are in this Country right now - totally out of balance, and most everyone understands what's next unless ...
Amy Buttiglieri
6:19 am on Monday, June 25, 2012
Hi, Jim. From what I'm experiencing, we've swung too far left, and we need to pull it in a bit. Just listening to people around me (in town, at work, in casual conversation), one word comes to mind: STRESSED.
No matter how big our hearts, there's a gale force wind pushing us to 1 side: the pressure that we're never giving enough. This is stressful because it's not a choice, it's a mandate. It's not coming from our hearts - we're not even "guilted into giving" - it's required, whether we believe in a cause or not.
Back to the analogy: we are all so busy trying to keep our balance in life that we don't have time to make sure we're on the right road. We can shout about the stress from our seats, but we can't stop peddling or we'll crash immediately and take our families with us. My conclusion is this: the outcome of the elections will course-correct towards the center (which does mean Romney), but that people will not vote for the "good of the country"; they will vote relieve the pressure in their own lives.
Jim Hatherley
7:43 am on Monday, June 25, 2012
Amy, thanks again, your comments expand the discussion. I love the extension of the analogy but here is my concern regarding your final sentence. What if, instead of voting to relieve the pressure from their lives, everyone essentially votes for their own specific interest? If that means that half the people pay zero income taxes, if countless scores of millions are relying on "free stuff" from the government, if over half the people are somehow convinced that they are a member of a so-called "victim's group", does this mean that Republicans have little hope now and in the future?
Concerned Citizen
7:55 am on Monday, June 25, 2012
Jim,
Excellent reasons why Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama in November. Lately, everywhere I go in Massachusetts, people of all occupations tell me how worried they are about their jobs. They say their company isn't doing well, and there are constantly cutbacks in things, such as personnel, raises, and benefits. They remark that they are currently doing the job that two or three people used to do, and they are tired and demoralized. They say that President Obama hasn't delivered on jobs or the economy, and there seems to be no end in sight to the stagnation of companies and small businesses. These people are looking for someone who knows how to grow business and jump start the economy. These people, some of whom are Democrats who voted for President Obama, are voting for Mitt Romney in November.
Jim Hatherley
8:21 am on Monday, June 25, 2012
Thank you Concerned Citizen, and I agree that I have heard the same from many people - at least those who have begun thinking for themselves and have stopped blaming President Bush. To them, Obama has been a big disappointment. As I said, "Cue the music, the thrill is gone." But your note makes me wonder how Obama will do even in the People's Republic of Cambridge. WIll Cantabridgians remember Obama's racial bias when impuning the Cambridge PD and an officer doing his job, all leading up to that dumb "beer summit"?
Concerned Citizen
10:49 am on Monday, June 25, 2012
It is unfortunate that Cambridge has lost its open-mindedness and has become a rubber stamp for the Democrat Party; so, I think the city as a whole will blindly vote for Barrack Obama no matter what he says or does. However, the rest of MA realizes that Obama has been a terrible leader, and we can't "afford" four more years of him.
John J Brown III
12:42 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Jim, this was a very nice read. I had the same feeling about a "special election" in 2010 that sent Scott Brown to Washington. I made a gentleman's bet with a friend (dinner at the restaurant of the winner's choice) that Scott Brown would be a victorious Republican from MA. He seems to stick to what he believes is right and not what his party or any party tells him is correct. He has angered people on both sides of the aisle. I prefer this in a person who represents me.
I like that you put my favorite Reagan quote into play also, “Facts are stubborn things.” I am hoping that the Healthcare bill is overturned on Thursday so that more facts get brought to light. We have a President who has tried to move an unconstitutional agenda (Healthcare, DreamAct) forward and I hope people are smart enough to pass on "hope & change" a second time.
Jim Hatherley
1:39 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
John, thanks for adding your comment and the kind words. Here's the thing. Democrats feel entitled, especially in Massachusetts. I have said on several occasions that it is sadly ironic that our Massachusetts ancestors rebelled against Monarchic tyranny, only to see their descendants embrace One-Party tyranny. At some point I believe that this is going to change. The signs of change are there because Obama is hardly a pragmatistic Clintonian Democrat, or even a pathetic Ted Kennedy Democrat. He has exceeded the boundaries of tolerance of most people who live 5 miles beyond the Cambridge border.
Stephen Faris
1:50 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Jim,
You are right on. Also, we can see from the Debt Exclusion Vote that the Town Taxpayers have had enough. Now it will be easier to make cuts to Town Government. I have measured the pulse of Westborough Voters and we will see the silent majority assert themselves. All they need is a small amount of leadership which is in process.
Steve
Jim Hatherley
2:12 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Steve, thanks again. Believe it or not but another debt exclusion vote may occur in October - an ongoing reminder of how much money Government is spending that they do not have. This is immoral. Hopefully there will be good news from the Supreme Court on Thursday, and Holder is held in contempt on the same day. His selective enforcement of some laws, but stonewalling on others is unforgivable. Speaking of which, Obama's refusal to enforce the Supreme Court's decision in AZ is impeachable, in my view, based on his knowing refusal to govern according to his oath of office. I have never seen anything so disrespectful of "We the People."
Stephen Faris
2:48 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Jim,
Thanks for your comments.
I believe Justice Scalier has written a scathing brief on Obamas lack of enforcement. This could lead to action from Congress and the Supreme Court to counter his moves. I think impeachment is long overdue.
Steve
Jim Hatherley
6:31 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Judge Scalia's dissent was just that ... a dissent, a fancy way of saying that he could not convince fellow justices of his position. So, the bottom line is that while Scalia's opinion is great to read, it still means that the other justices killed several portions of the AZ bill. And then Obama killed the part that was deemed constitutional. Who needs a SOTUS if the President is going to nullify their decisions by not defending the rule of law? Who needs States when the Attorney General and POTUS are busily sueing them for doing their jobs and acting within the powers granted to them under the Constitution? No impeachment until the Senate turns red. Hopefully by then Obama will be gone to spare the Nation another nightmare.
SameOld
12:01 pm on Wednesday, June 27, 2012
Jim,
What are you smoking and where can I get some. Mitt will not win Massachusetts as he does not have a "D" next to his name. Just see how well Elizabeth Warren is doing in the polls with her well known lies. Only is Massachusetts would she still be on the ballot. The "D" next to the name means everything.
Jim Hatherley
12:12 pm on Wednesday, June 27, 2012
Thanks for the reminder that Massachusetts is a political wasteland, Same Old. But here's the thing. Martha Coakley also had a "D" next to her name and she was defeated even with a full throated endorsement from the President to put her into Teddy Kennedy's seat. When I was making calls for Scott Brown I was very surprised to hear how poorly Independent voters regarded Obama. That he is currently polling below both Coakley and Deval Patrick suggests that has not changed. If not for an in-the-tank media, including the ever-pathetic Boston Globe, Obama would have long ago have been exposed for what he is, and castigated for what he has done to America. I hope you will be joining me in voting "R".
Stephen Faris
6:27 pm on Wednesday, June 27, 2012
SameOld,
I would say economics will also drive Ma voters. When Clinton ran remember the moto, "Its the economy stupid". Well, Mr Obama will be held accountable. Dick Morris is now predicting a landslide for Romney. Link below:
http://www.dickmorris.com/
Carter versus Reagan replay.
The media loves their Obama but the people and media are not in aggreement. Also, the media loves to make elections look close and when they are wrong they make up excuses. For example, the media predicted a too close to call election and Scott Walker won by at least 7%. When that came out they the media said it was because Walker had done nothing wrong.
Steve